~ Your Money ~

 

Shannan Bate, Branch Office Administrator & Patrick C. Cruser, Financial Advisor

2390 American Lgn. Blvd. Ste. 4, Mountain Home, Idaho 83647 – Ph. 208-587-3972

 

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Supercommittee Appears Poised to Fail

 

   Few expected the congressional supercommittee to deliver a grand solution to the country's deficit problems. But almost everyone thought the committee would find some areas of agreement and take at least a small step toward long-term deficit reduction. Despite such very low expectations, the committee members failed to reach any agreement. The market reacted with dismay to another demonstration that Washington has not yet become serious about addressing long-term deficits. In addition, continuing worries about Europe's debt difficulties further pressured stocks.

 

More Decisions Ahead

 

   Without a deficit reduction agreement from the supercommittee by the Nov. 23 deadline, automatic spending cuts of $1.2 trillion become part of the 2013 federal budget, using a process called sequestration. But no one is certain these cuts will be made, either, and many expect that Congress will propose other changes. The rating agencies are monitoring the situation and may become more concerned about the lack of progress, although we don't believe another downgrade is imminent. While the supercommittee's failure is disappointing, it does not have any immediate consequences and does not change the near-term outlook for the deficit or the economy. As the situation in Europe has demonstrated recently, a lack of progress has added to uncertainty and market volatility.

  In addition, several tax cuts and other provisions -- including the 2% payroll tax cut, the temporary patch for the alternative minimum tax (AMT) and some unemployment benefits -- expire at the end of 2011. We expect these will be extended into 2012, since most policymakers are concerned that the economy remains fragile. However, these issues may trigger the same divisions that appear to have defeated the supercommittee.

 

Washington May Delay, but Investors Can't Wait

 

   Political disarray is distressing, especially when important issues are dividing policymakers. Unfortunately, most investors can't wait for the outcome of Washington's deficit debates to make long-term investment decisions. To help deal with such political uncertainty, we recommend investors:

 * Own investments with tax diversification in mind

 * Review the quality of their investments

 * Consider international investments*

   We think most investors should consider a well-diversified portfolio that includes quality companies, most of which have experienced other times with wide political divisions. Stock prices of many companies with rising earnings and a track record of increasing dividends have dropped due to broad, global fears focused on government debts. As a result, we feel stock prices of these quality companies may not currently be appropriately reflecting the company's prospects. When fear seems to dominate fundamentals and headlines, we believe investors often find quality opportunities when trying to work toward long-term goals.

 

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Market Mood Sours As Debt Focus Shifts to Italy

 

   Heightened worries about Italy's debt triggered a stock market decline on Nov. 9, proving that Europe's debt troubles continue to drive short-term market volatility in the U.S. The debt crisis in Europe has been injecting spurts of optimism and fear into the global markets, depending on which day you look.

   Wednesday's decline reversed the market's gains on Monday and Tuesday, and we expect this pattern of ups and downs to continue. Hidden by the news from Europe washing across the Atlantic are indications that economic growth is continuing to improve here at home.

 

Concerns Shift to Italy -- Big but Not Bad

 

   The concerns have shifted from Greece to Italy. While the reasons are similar -- both countries have a combination of political disarray and large government debts -- it's important to keep in mind that Italy is not Greece:

   The situation in Greece is bad, with the economy contracting at a rate exceeding 5% and a huge budget deficit.

   In contrast, Italy's deficit is small, and its economy is flat. Investors are concerned about Italy because of the size of its debt, which at $2.6 trillion is the third largest in the world behind only the U.S. and Japan.

   Interest rates on Italian bonds spiked above 7%, up from 5.8% just two weeks ago, reflecting increasing investor worries that budget reforms will fall short of expectations, heightening Italy's debt burden. Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has promised to resign, and a new government would most likely be more committed to the austerity program. However, Italy needs to continue to finance its debt, and higher interest rates reflect the difficulty of the task.

   The recent pressure from European Union leaders to get Greek leadership to comply with the bailout plan suggests that coordination among the eurozone officials may be gaining steam, which could reassure investors. We think policymakers will continue to address troubles piecemeal in Italy as they have in Greece, and they'll keep working toward a broader solution to Europe's debt problems at a frustratingly slow pace.

 

Better Domestic News

 

   As a result of the drama in Europe, investors have paid little attention to positive news about the U.S. economy, which has become an opposing force to the uncertainty in Europe. A few highlights include:

 * Slow but solid job growth

 * Slightly lower inventory levels

 * Rising purchases of big-ticket items

   We believe these factors point to an economy that is slowly, but steadily, gaining strength. Companies are navigating this uncertainty remarkably well, and those in the S&P 500 reported third-quarter earnings rose more than 17% over the past year. Long term, stock prices tend to follow the growth in earnings and the economy, so in our view, these are positive trends for long-term investors.

   Although we're fairly certain European debt troubles will continue to disrupt markets day to day, it's important to remember that this type of short-term volatility isn't new. Owning a well-diversified portfolio is a strategy investors have used to help navigate through similar times in the past. If you're concerned, work with your financial advisor to ensure your mix of investments includes appropriate proportions of equities, fixed income and international investments, and rebalance if needed. We continue to recommend investors consider allocating a portion of their portfolio to international investments. Discuss with your financial advisor this allocation and the specific percentage that may be appropriate for you.

   While international investing involves additional risks,* today's concerns about Europe are affecting global markets, and we believe long-term investors, where appropriate, should consider a global position.

   I hope you found this information helpful. Should you have any questions, please contact me, and we can schedule a time to talk.

 

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What Woke the Bear Market?

 

   Recent stock market declines have pushed U.S. markets down nearly 20% from their highs this past spring. A 20% decline is commonly called a bear market, and as usual, this one emerged suddenly and without much warning. Since bear market declines happen regularly -- an average of every three to four years -- you'll undoubtedly experience many bear markets as a long-term investor. But each one can be unnerving, so it's important to review bear market survival strategies whenever one starts.

   Bear markets frequently start because fears dominate fundamentals. Basically, what people think may happen overshadows what's actually happening. This time, the fears that pushed the stock market into bear territory aren't new, and they've largely been responsible for the volatile markets we've experienced since early August. The two major concerns are:

 * High government debts -- This is especially troublesome in eurozone countries. This week's decline was sparked by Greece's projection that it will miss deficit reduction targets required for additional bailout funds.

 * Slower economic growth -- Many people are worried that the U.S., Europe and emerging markets will stumble into recession, based on several months of mixed economic news.

  Greece at the Center of European Debt Concerns - Greece's deteriorating situation has made headlines almost daily, scoring one for fear over fundamentals. Like sitting through a commercial break in your favorite TV program, markets have grown increasingly anxious for a resolution to the euro debt crisis. Unfortunately, there is no fast forward button. European policymakers are working on a plan, but they've been moving slowly. The markets move quickly and don't react well if they have to wait for decisions. This frustration creates volatility, and as we all know, the commercial breaks often seem to get longer. So in the interim, it may be awhile before the program returns.

   Encouraging Manufacturing Data Went Unnoticed - The latest disappointment from Greece also threw a wet blanket on better-than-expected U.S. economic news, which showed manufacturing activity picked up in September. Notably, this number remained above the all-important 50 level, which indicated a slowly growing economy and not an outright recession.

   While the economic indicators are likely to remain mixed, additional evidence suggesting the economy remains on a path of modest growth could help soothe recession fears and relieve pressure on stock prices.

   Surviving Bear Markets - Although the start of a bear market can raise worries about what's to come, remember, market pullbacks, like commercial breaks, are normal and happen regularly. Bear markets are rarely as severe as the one we experienced in 2008, but surviving any bear market requires patience, discipline and controlling your emotions. In fact, you may be able to use the situation to your advantage by:

 * Looking for opportunities to add quality investments that have lower prices due to the recent sell-off

 * Working to ensure your portfolio is appropriately balanced and diversified to help better weather the volatility that is likely to continue in the near term

Consider what strategies may be appropriate for you.

  I know markets like this can be frustrating and I remain committed to helping you make progress toward your long-term goals. Please contact me if you have any questions.

 

Sincerely,

Patrick C Cruser

Financial Advisor

 

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Is Volatility the New Normal?


   The equity markets were down sharply Thursday in reaction to disappointing jobless claims and a larger-than-expected jump in consumer prices. And as has become the norm of late, continued worries out of Europe are pushing stocks downward.


What's New?


We believe three new pieces of economic data are behind Thursday's decline:


1. Initial jobless claims -- These claims, which are seasonally adjusted, rose 9,000 last week to 408,000, reversing course from the previous week's better-than-expected reading. But it's important to note that this is a weekly reading. While we don't believe they should be dismissed, these are short-term figures, not predictors of the long-term course of the labor market. Also, the four-week moving average is below what it was a month ago and six months ago, suggesting that the broader trend is getting better, not worse. Remember, last week's report was better than expected. Although we may prefer a consistent and dramatic rise in employment trends, the current environment remains one of frustratingly slow improvement.


2. Consumer Price Index -- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed prices rose by more than expected in July, driven primarily by energy costs. The market was more concerned about the rise in core consumer prices (excluding food and energy), which reached an annualized rate of 1.8%, the highest level since early 2010 and driven in part by rising rent costs. The trend in core inflation is a key benchmark for the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy, so the rise last month suggests the Fed has less wiggle room in its intent to keep rates low for the foreseeable future. The accommodative Fed policy has provided a cushion for the stock market through the recovery, as investors have for the most part been comfortable that the Fed can and will take extraordinary action to spur growth in the economy. This CPI reading seems to have alarmed the market because the Fed may be less inclined to take further stimulus actions in the near term.

 

3. Philadelphia Fed Survey -- The Philadelphia (Philly) Fed survey showed a slowdown in manufacturing activity in August versus a better-than-expected reading last month.


What's Not New?


   European Fiscal Worries Concerns continue about Europe over the potential spread of its debt crisis throughout its banking system. U.S. banks were lower Thursday as a result.


Long-term Investors Must Maintain Focus

 

  "When it rains, it pours" may be a phrase that comes to mind, but to our knowledge, a rainstorm has never lasted forever, and many even produce a rainbow. While the cumulative effect of these reports may be exacerbating the market's reaction, this is indicative of our current economic reality. Data will continue to be uneven, and spates of pessimism often give way to optimism and back again. (The past two weeks provide evidence of that.)

   We understand there's frustration when the job market does not improve quickly, especially for those facing long-term unemployment. But it's still improving. July's CPI report confirmed what we already knew: Gas prices and rent costs were higher that month. But recently we've seen gas prices drop, and with unemployment still stubbornly high, rents are unlikely to rise sharply. Also reflecting the market's sensitivity is the fact that today's better-than-expected leading economic indicators report is being all but ignored.

   Long-term investors can take some comfort in the fact that these readings are pieces to a    bigger puzzle -- one that we believe reveals an economy that, while frustratingly uneven, remains on the mend. This, in our view, is supportive of the markets over time. As always, we believe a diversified portfolio is key to weathering volatile markets such as this.

 

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Markets React Sharply to Headlines -- Reasons to Stay Calm, Stay Invested, Look for Opportunities


   Stocks declined sharply in response to the U.S. debt downgrade, continuing European sovereign debt troubles and concerns about a general slowdown in the global economy. At the same time these issues are occurring, the market is also growing increasingly concerned about slowing economic growth at home based on recent economic reports.

   As we know, uncertainty often creates volatility. We're seeing a shift in how much risk investors are willing to take amid these near-term distractions, causing stocks to decline in the short run. We understand that big declines can make investors nervous, but even with the most recent pullback, the stock market is up more than 60% from its March 2009 lows.

   What we're going through today may evoke memories of 2008. We don't believe this is a repeat of 2008, however, because there are fundamental differences in economic and market conditions, which we believe is good news for long-term investors. Specifically:

   Economic growth remains sluggish but positive. While the economy grew just 0.8% in the first half of the year, most economists expect it to pick up in the second half. Recent economic reports are consistent with slow, but positive, growth. While slower than many had hoped, economic growth is expected to be positive in 2011. It shrank in 2008.

  Job growth has nearly doubled this year. Almost 1 million jobs were added in the first seven months of 2011, about the same as in all of 2010. The economy was shedding jobs in 2008, not adding them.

  Corporate earnings are on a record pace. Corporate earnings are expected to reach a record high this quarter, while they were declining in 2008. S&P 500 earnings are up about 12% over the past year. Since stock prices haven't kept pace, the S&P 500 is trading at about 10 times forward operating earnings. This is well below its historical average of 15 times earnings. While past performance does not guarantee future results, we believe this represents an attractive value for investors.

  Oil prices are lower. Oil prices have fallen below $90, giving consumers some help. They soared to nearly $150 in 2008.

  U.S. financial companies in general are in better shape. Many companies are much better capitalized and have reduced risks in their businesses, and regulations have increased. While challenges remain, we don't believe risks within the financial system are nearly as high as in 2008.


What Should Long-term Investors Do?

   This is one of the hardest parts of being a long-term investor. It's easy to stay the course when markets are rising. It's harder to stay the course during declines and view them as potential investing opportunities. But that's what being a long-term investor is all about. Here's what you should remember:

   This is what it feels like to buy low. A stock market decline of 10% has occurred about once a year since 1900. They're typically opportunities for adding quality stocks, especially if you may not own enough equities.

   Reposition equities and rebalance if needed. Consider adding quality stocks, especially those that have a track record of increasing their dividends.

   Stay invested.  A diversified portfolio of quality investments is a sensible strategy during volatile markets.

   I hope you found this information helpful. If you have questions, please let me know.

 

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S&P Downgrades U.S. Debt Rating –

What You Should Know

 

    Late Friday, August 5th, S&P lowered its long-term credit rating on the U.S. to AA+ from AAA. The move was not entirely unexpected as Congress' recent debt ceiling compromise fell short of the rating agency's goal for more significant deficit reduction. However, this is a big news event since the downgrade marks the first time the U.S. has lost its AAA status since its initial publication 70 years ago. In addition, S&P put a negative outlook on the rating, which means that further downgrades are possible. So, it's likely the media will have some dramatic coverage.

    While the news headlines may appear scary, the likely impact is short-term market volatility, not sharply higher interest rates that could hurt the economy. You may also hear about some municipal bonds, government-agency bonds (Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae or TVA) or other securities closely tied to the U.S. debt rating being downgraded. This could happen as early as Monday, Aug. 8. Despite all the media coverage, here are some important facts to remember:

  1. Downgrade Does Not Mean Default -- Rating agencies such as Standard & Poor's(S&P) and Moody's assign ratings to bonds to help investors assess credit risk, or the chances that they won't receive timely payments. A downgrade to AA+ means investors would be slightly less likely to receive future expected payments than if the bond had an AAA rating. That's a big difference from default, which would mean investors don't receive current payments.

  2. U.S. Credit Rating is Still High Quality -- It's important to note that S&P didn't change the U.S. government's short-term credit rating (which applies to debt maturing in less than one year), which is more relevant for money market funds due to their short-term investment holdings. In addition, a long-term credit rating of AA+ is still considered high quality. In fact, according to S&P a rating of AA "differs from the highest-rated obligations only to a small degree. The obligor's capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation is very strong." And remember two other major rating agencies, Moody's and Fitch, both recently affirmed their "AAA" rating on the U.S. although Moody's has a negative outlook on its rating.

  3. Downgrade Not a Big Surprise; Market Impact Uncertain -- It's not certain what the impact to the markets will be since this is the first time the U.S. debt rating has been downgraded. S&P communicated that a downgrade was possible well in advance of taking action, so the markets may have already priced in some of the impact. Here are some thoughts on how the various markets may react:

  Interest Rates -- While higher interest rates are a possibility, it's important to note that when S&P downgraded Japan's debt to AA+ from AAA in 2001, rates on 10-year government bonds didn't change much. Canada's didn't change at all when Moody's downgraded its debt to Aa1 from Aaa in 1994. In the U.S., rates on 10-year U.S. government debt have fallen significantly over the past several weeks despite the debt ceiling discussions and the fact that S&P placed the rating on negative watch a month ago.

  Stock Market -- Stock market volatility was already running high due to concerns over European debt and slower U.S. growth. The market may react negatively, but it will likely be short-term. Remember, many investors were already expecting a downgrade, so after the initial reaction to the downgrade, attention is likely to focus back on the economy and corporate profits.

 

Your Goals, Not the Media, Should Drive Your Investment Decisions


   The market might react negatively to this in the short term, but our advice is to stay the course and not overreact to the headlines. In time of increased market uncertainly it's natural for investors to think they should "do something." However, making big changes to your investment strategy could be expensive and may cause your portfolio to no longer be positioned to meet your long-term goals. Although it can be difficult to remember sometimes, long-term investors understand that short-term market declines aren't a reason to overreact and can even present good opportunities to buy quality investments at lower prices.

 

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Better-than-expected July Jobs Report


   The July jobs report brought some much-needed good news for the economy. About 117,000 jobs were added, and the unemployment rate slipped to 9.1%. The report was better than most had expected and helps ease concerns about slowing economic growth. Economists anticipated the unemployment rate to remain at 9.2% and a gain of 85,000 jobs, according to Bloomberg, but the range of estimates was wider than usual. Initial stock market reaction was positive, as many had worried about a weak employment report.

   The details of July's employment report also showed some strength:

 * Private payrolls rose 154,000, in line with the average in 2011.

 * The decline of 37,000 government workers included about 23,000 Minnesota state workers. They were temporarily laid off due to the state government shutdown and have now returned to work.

 * Average earnings rose in July, putting them up 2.3% over the past year.

 * Average hours were unchanged in July but are up slightly over the past year.


Jobs Report Suggests Positive but Sluggish Growth


   While the pace of job growth remains slower than most would like -- especially those who have faced long-term unemployment -- it is improving. The economy created almost 1 million jobs in the first seven months of 2011, about the same number added as in all of 2010. That means the rate of job growth has almost doubled over the past year. In our view, the slow improvement in the employment picture is consistent with overall economic growth that is positive but sluggish, rather than a return to recession.

 

How Should You Respond?

 

   Of course, you may still be concerned about the sudden sell-off in the stock market. While this left stocks down 10% from their late July highs, they are down only slightly from the beginning of the year. This is never pleasant to experience, but it's important to remember that such drops have occurred about once a year on average since 1900. A strategy that includes owning a diversified portfolio of quality investments has helped investors successfully navigate similar downturns in the past. It worked because it guided investors to stay invested, add quality investments during stock market declines and rebalance back to their target mix of investments when needed. We think this approach is appropriate today as well.

   I hope you found this information helpful. If you have questions, please let me know.

Patrick C Cruser, Financial Advisor

Phone: 587-3972

 

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Buy When Others Are Fearful,

Sell When Others Are Greedy

 

   With everything going on in the markets and economy, many people are wondering if this is going to be like 2008 again. If you're concerned, I understand and thought the following commentary from our investment strategist, Kate Warne, may be helpful.

 

Why You Should Continue to Look Forward

 

   We understand that you may be worried after the past few days of stock market declines. After all, the Great Recession is still fresh in the minds of many investors. And while it may seem repetitive, we still believe that solid investing principles of time and patience are key to weathering this recent round of bad news.

   Fear Is Fueling the Decline - The stock market decline is due to ongoing concerns about slower economic growth and new worries about European debt. Europe's current plans appear insufficient to deal with the size of the problems, especially in Italy and Spain. Investors are concerned that policymakers are moving too slowly and not doing enough.

   Despite the worries around economic growth, recent indicators continue to suggest it's slow but positive. Retail sales at stores open more than a year increased 4.4%, according to Thomson Reuters, reflecting better consumer spending, and weekly unemployment claims stayed the same. However, investors appear to be ignoring these and other signs of slow but positive growth.

 

This Is Not 2008

 

   We understand that the memories of the 2008 market decline may be still fresh and painful. The current environment may make you feel uncomfortable about staying invested -- especially if you are nearing or in retirement.

   While it may be difficult, remember that emotions are rarely a good guide to investment decisions. Facts paint the whole picture, and here are a few you should know:

   The last downturn combined a severe recession with a financial crisis. Recessions are frequent, and you'll probably experience many over time. Financial crises are rare.

   Financial companies have raised capital and improved their balance sheets, and many new regulations are in place, which should make another financial crisis unlikely.

   Oil prices have dropped below $90 a barrel, providing some relief for consumers. They rose to nearly $150 a barrel in mid-2008.

   Companies are much stronger financially than they were in 2008, and earnings have been rising due to growing sales and strict cost controls.

   Legendary investor Warren Buffett has frequently said that the recipe for success as an investor is to buy when others are fearful, and to sell when others are greedy. When markets decline sharply, it's only natural to be concerned. However, long-term investors have frequently found these events represent opportunities to add quality stocks at lower prices. While no one ever knows which way the market will move day to day, don't let declines cause you to make decisions to overturn your investment strategy or lose sight of what you're working to achieve. Instead, consider adding quality stocks, especially those that have a track record of increasing their dividends.

   If you have any questions or want more information, please give my office a call.

Patrick C Cruser, Financial Advisor

Phone: 587-3972

 

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Plan for the Expected — But Prepare for the Unexpected

 

   To enjoy a comfortable retirement lifestyle, you’ll need to have adequate financial resources in place. And that means you must plan for the expected — but prepare for the unexpected.

  In planning for the “expected” aspects of your retirement, consider these factors:

  • Your vision of your retirement lifestyle — What do you want to do during your retirement years? Spend more time with your family? Volunteer? Open your own business? Your expectations of your retirement lifestyle will dictate, to a large extent, your savings and investment strategies.

    Your expenses — Once you’ve established a vision for your retirement lifestyle, you can begin to estimate the expenses you expect to incur during your retirement years.

  • Your income —  You can expect to receive income from a variety of sources: Social Security, pensions, part-time employment and investments, such as your IRA, 401(k) and any taxable investment accounts you may have. You’ll need to estimate about how much income all these sources could provide.

  • Your withdrawal rate — If your investments are going to provide a significant part of your retirement income, you need to carefully manage annual withdrawals from your portfolio.  Your withdrawal rate is key in helping to ensure your portfolio provides for your needs as long as you need it.

  • Your portfolio reliance rate — Related to your portfolio withdrawal rate is your portfolio reliance rate — how much you rely on your portfolio to provide income. For instance, if you will need $50,000 per year in retirement, and $30,000 will come from your portfolio, your reliance rate will be 60% ($30,000 divided by $50,000).  Your reliance rate will help determine how sensitive your strategy might be to outside events, such as market fluctuations.

   While you need to be familiar with these expected elements of your retirement, you also must be prepared for the unexpected aspects, such as these:

  • Living longer than you expect — How long you can expect to live is somewhat of a mystery. If you were to live longer than you anticipate, would you be financially prepared? To help make sure your money lasts throughout your lifetime, you may need to consider investments that can provide you with a lifetime income stream. And your longevity will obviously also affect your annual portfolio withdrawal rate.

  • Inflation — At an average inflation rate of three percent, your cost of living will double in about 24 years. That’s why, even in retirement, you will need some growth-oriented investments, such as quality stocks to ensure you can maintain your desired retirement lifestyle. But if the unexpected happens, and inflation takes off at a much higher than average level, you may need to consider a greater amount of investments that offer the potential for rising income.

  • Health care — Even after you’re on Medicare, which won’t cover everything, you need to prepare for the unexpected, such as a lengthy illness or the need for some type of long-term care. You may also wish to “self-insure” to a certain extent by setting aside funds in a liquid, stable account.

   By positioning your investment portfolio for both the expected and the unexpected, you can go a long way toward enjoying the retirement lifestyle you seek. So plan ahead — and make the necessary adjustments as time goes by.

   Written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser

 

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Roth IRA: A Lifetime Investment

 

  Some investments are appropriate during your working years, while others are more suitable for retirement. But a Roth Individual Retirement Account (IRA) can provide you with benefits at virtually every stage of your life. Let’s take a quick “journey” through some of these stages to see just how valuable a Roth IRA can be.

  To begin with, you can open a Roth IRA at any age, provided you have earned income and meet certain income limits. So if you’re just starting out in your career, put as much as you can afford into your Roth IRA and gradually increase your contributions as your income rises, up to the contribution limit. A Roth IRA is an excellent retirement savings vehicle because it can grow tax free and your contributions can be invested into just about any investment you choose — stocks, bonds, mutual funds, CDs and so on.

  Of course, when you’re young, you might not be thinking much about retirement. But the earlier you start contributing to a Roth IRA, the more you could end up with — and the difference could be substantial. In fact, if you started putting money into a Roth IRA at age 30, and you contributed the maximum amount each year until you reached 65, you would accumulate more than $766,000, assuming you are in the 25% tax bracket and you earned a 7% return, compounded annually. But, given the same assumptions, you’d end up with only about $365,000 if you waited until 40 before you started contributing.

  It clearly pays to contribute early and annually to a Roth IRA. (In 2011, the annual contribution limit is $5,000, or $6,000 if you’re 50 or older.) There are additional benefits to funding a Roth IRA, such as its flexible withdrawal options, which are available to you even before you retire. Since you already paid taxes on the money you put into your Roth, you can withdraw your contributions at any time without paying taxes or penalties. Generally speaking, it’s certainly best to leave your Roth IRA intact for as long as possible. But if there's an emergency and you need access to the funds, you can also withdraw your Roth’s earnings tax free, provided you’ve held your account at least five years and you don’t start taking withdrawals until you’ve reached 59½.

  Now, let’s fast-forward to your retirement. Unlike other retirement accounts, such as a traditional IRA or a 401(k), your Roth IRA does not require you to start taking withdrawals at age 70½ — or ever. If you don’t need the money, you can leave it alone, possibly to grow further, for as long as you like. This means that you might have more money to bequeath to your children or other beneficiaries, and they won’t have to pay income taxes on withdrawals from either your contributions or your earnings, provided your Roth IRA account has been open for at least five years. Keep in mind, though, that your beneficiaries will be required to take distributions based on their life expectancy.

  As you can see, a Roth IRA can be an excellent financial “traveling companion” as you go through life. So consider adding a Roth to your portfolio — and bon voyage.

   Written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser

 

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Know Your Investment Risks — and How to Respond

 

    When you invest, you take some risks. While you can’t totally avoid these risks, you can take steps to help reduce their impact and increase your comfort level. And the more comfortable you are with your investments, the easier it will be to follow a long-term strategy that can help you meet your goals.

   Let’s look at the most common types of risk related to investing, along with some suggestions on helping to reduce these risks:

   * Losing principal — This type of risk is most closely associated with investing. For example, when you purchase a stock, you know that its value could go up or down. If it drops below your purchase price, and you then sell your shares, you will lose some of your principal.

   * Your response — You can’t eliminate the risk of losing principal, but by owning a mix of stocks, bonds, government securities and other types of investments, you can help reduce the impact of volatility on your portfolio. Keep in mind, though, that diversification, by itself, can’t guarantee a profit or protect against loss.

   * Losing value when interest rates change — This type of risk primarily affects fixed-income investments, such as bonds. If you purchase a bond that pays, say, a 4% interest rate, and the market rate goes up to 5%, then the value of your bond will drop because no one will be willing to pay you the full price for it when newer, higher-yielding bonds are available.

   * Your response — You can combat, or even ignore, interest rate risk by holding your bonds until they mature. By doing so, you’ll get your full principal back, provided the issuer doesn’t default, and you’ll continue to receive regular interest payments unless the bonds are “called,” or repurchased by the issuer. (You can help protect against this by purchasing bonds that have some degree of “call protection” and by owning bonds with different maturities.)

   * Losing purchasing power — This risk largely applies to fixed-rate investments such as certificates of deposit (CDs). To illustrate: If you purchase a CD that pays 2%, and the inflation rate is 3%, you are actually losing purchasing power.

   * Your response — Despite their vulnerability to inflation, CDs can offer you some valuable benefits, such as preservation of principal. Yet if you are concerned about fighting inflation, you may want to look for investments than have the potential to offer rising income, such as dividend-paying stocks. In fact, you can find stocks that have increased their dividends for many consecutive years. (Be aware, though, that companies can reduce or eliminate dividends at any time. Also, an investment in stocks fluctuates, and you could lose your principal.)

   Apart from these individual techniques to reduce investment-related risk, you should also save early and save often — because the more money you accumulate, the greater your ability to follow a long-term strategy that reflects your personal risk tolerance. That’s why it’s a good idea to contribute as much as possible over the years to your IRA and 401(k) or other employer-sponsored retirement plan.

   By understanding the different types of investment risk, and by acting to help lessen them, you can reduce much of the stress sometimes associated with investing — while you increase your prospects for achieving your objectives.

   Written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser.

 

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Women Business Owners Need Retirement Plans

 

    If you’re a woman who owns a business, you’ve got plenty of company. In fact, women own more than 10 million U.S. companies, and women-owned businesses account for about 40% of all privately held firms in the U.S., according to the Center for Women’s Business Research. Clearly, the good news is that women like you are entering the small-business arena at a rapid pace. The not-so-good news is that you may be facing a retirement savings gap in comparison to male business owners.

   To get a sense of this gap, consider these statistics:

   * According to the U.S. Small Business Administration’s Office of Advocacy, 19.4% of male business owners have 401(k) or similar plans, compared with just 15.5% of women owners.

   * The percentage of female business owners with Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) is about the same as that of male business owners — but the men have more money in their accounts. The average woman’s IRA balance is about $51,000, compared with $91,000 for men, according to a recent report by the Employee Benefit Research Institute. Although these figures change constantly with the ebbs and flow of the market, the difference between the genders remains significant.

   One way to help close this savings gap, of course, is to set up a retirement plan for your business. But for many women business owners (and male owners, too), the perceived cost of setting up and running a retirement plan has been an obstacle. However, the retirement plan market has opened up considerably for small business owners over the past several years, so you might be surprised at the ease and inexpensiveness of administering a quality plan that can help you build resources for your own retirement — and help you attract and retain good employees.

   With the help of a financial professional, you can consider some of the myriad of plans that may be available to you:

   * Owner-only 401(k) — This plan, which is also known as an individual 401(k), is available to self-employed individuals and business owners with no full-time employees other than themselves or a spouse. You may even be able to choose a Roth option for your 401(k), which allows you to make after-tax contributions that can grow tax-free.

   * SEP IRA — If you have just a few employees or are self-employed with no employees, you may want to consider a SEP IRA. You’ll fund the plan with tax-deductible contributions, and you must cover all eligible employees.

   * Solo defined benefit plan — Pension plans, also known as defined benefit plans, are still around — and you can set one up for yourself if you are self-employed or own your own business. This plan has high contribution limits, which are determined by an actuarial calculation, and as is the case with other retirement plans, your contributions are typically tax-deductible.

   * SIMPLE IRA — A SIMPLE IRA, as its name suggests, is easy to set up and maintain, and it can be a good plan if your business has fewer than 10 employees. Still, while a SIMPLE IRA may be advantageous for your employees, it’s less generous to you, as far as allowable contributions, than an owner-only 401(k), a SEP IRA or a defined benefit plan.

   As a business owner, you spend a lot of time thinking about what needs to be done today, but you don’t want to forget about tomorrow — so consider putting a retirement plan to work for you soon.

   Written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser.

 

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Consider Establishing a Business Retirement Plan

(written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser)

 

  If you’re self-employed or you own a business, you’ve got a lot to think about: attracting new customers, maintaining cash flow, upgrading equipment and facilities — the list goes on and on. Yet, as busy as you are today, you can’t forget about tomorrow — which means you need to have a solid retirement plan in place.

  All retirement plans offer some features in common, such as tax-deferred growth of earnings. So how can you pick the plan that’s right for you? You’ll need to consider your business’ annual income, number of employees and other factors. Fortunately, you have some good plans from which to choose. Here are a few to consider:

  * Owner-only 401(k) — If you are self-employed with no employees other than your spouse or a partner, the Owner-only 401(k) may be an option for you.  Also known as an individual 401(k), an owner-only 401(k) offers you many of the same advantages of a traditional 401(k): a range of investment options, tax-deductible contributions and tax-deferred earnings growth. You may even be able to choose a Roth option for your owner-only 401(k), which allows you to make after-tax contributions that have the opportunity to grow tax-free. For 2010, you can contribute up to $16,500 as a deferral, and total contributions cannot exceed $49,000 or $54,500 if you’re 50 or older.  But you must plan ahead to take advantage of this plan for 2010 because it will need to be set up prior to Dec. 31, 2010.

  * SEP IRA — If you have just a few employees or are self-employed with no employees, you may want to consider a SEP IRA. For the 2010 tax year, you can put in the lesser of $49,000 or 25 percent of your compensation, which is capped at a maximum of $245,000. You fund the plan with tax-deductible contributions, and you must cover all eligible employees — at a minimum, those who are at least 21 and have been with your company for three out of the immediately preceding five years. (Employees themselves cannot contribute.) Keep in mind, though, that the percentage of compensation contributed to a SEP IRA must be the same for you and your employees.  If you don't get a plan set up prior to year-end, the SEP IRA is the only plan that you can set up and fund, up until your tax filing deadline, to get a 2010 tax deduction.

  * Solo defined benefit plan — Generally speaking, this plan, which is similar to a traditional pension plan, may be suitable for you if you have relatively high earnings and can afford to take advantage of the high contribution limits, which are determined by an actuarial calculation. Your contributions are tax deductible.

  In choosing a retirement plan, you may want to consult with your tax adviser. But don’t wait any longer to get started. The future will be here soon enough — so you’ll want to be prepared for it.

 

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"Stress Busters" for the Sandwich Generation

(written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser)

 

  You may be too busy to realize it, but April is Stress Awareness Month. Sponsored by the Health Resource Network, a nonprofit health education group, Stress Awareness Month is designed to promote awareness about ways to reduce stress in our lives. And if you’re a member of the so-called “Sandwich Generation,” you may well have plenty of stress to deal with — especially financial stress. And that’s why you may want to look at this month as an opportunity to explore ways of “de-stressing” yourself.

  To understand the scope of the problem facing people in your situation, consider this: One out of every eight Americans aged 40 to 60 is raising a child while caring for an aging parent, according to the Pew Research Center. The definition of “eldercare” can range from having the parent living in one’s home to helping pay for the parent’s stay in an assisted living or nursing home facility. When you consider the costs involved in this type of care, added to the expenses of raising your children and possibly even providing some financial support to them as young adults, it’s easy to see how you could potentially face enormous strains, both emotionally and financially.

  To help ease this burden, consider these suggestions:

   * Save. As a Sandwich Generation member, you’re probably within shouting distance of your own retirement — so you need to save for it. This may not be easy. You don’t know how much financial support you may someday have to provide your elderly parents — and even after your children are grown, they may need some help from you. Unfortunately, in helping these “boomerang” children, many people disrupt their day-to-day cash flow and raid their savings. That’s why it’s important to try to “pay yourself first” by deferring part of each paycheck into a 401(k) and by automatically moving money each month from your checking or savings account into an IRA.

   * Talk. Many people in the “Greatest Generation” (over age 80) have not even prepared a will. If your parents are in that group, you may want to talk to them about taking action. Also, find out who, if anyone, is handling their investments. And ask if your parents understand how Medicare works and if they need to add supplemental health insurance, such as Medigap. Plus, you need to find out if your parents have created a power of attorney or health care directive. It’s best to have these conversations sooner rather than later.

   * Delegate. You eventually may have to take some responsibility for your parents’ care — but you don’t have to do it alone. You could, for example, work with a financial services provider that offers trust services, which can be invaluable if your parents are incapacitated and useful even if they aren’t. A professional trust officer can, among other duties, help manage your parents’ investments, pay their bills, keep their records and supervise distribution of their assets to beneficiaries. In short, a qualified trust officer can make life a lot easier for you.

  Stress Awareness Month lasts only 30 days, but by taking the right steps, you can de-stress yourself for many years to come. After all, just because you’re in the Sandwich Generation, it doesn’t mean you have to be “squished.”

 

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401(k) Review and Rollover Can Be Rewarding

(written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser)

 

   Your 401(k) offers tax-deductible contributions, tax-deferred growth of earnings potential and a variety of investment options — so it’s a great tool for building retirement savings. Yet like all tools, your 401(k) must be used properly to get the best results. That’s why you should review your 401(k) at least annually and make whatever adjustments are needed.

   Depending on where you work, you may get some 401(k) review help from your plan provider. But if that assistance isn’t available, you might want to consult with a financial professional to make sure you’re getting the maximum benefit from your plan.

   As you begin to review your 401(k), your first question should probably be this: “How much should I contribute?” At the very least, try to put in enough to receive your employer’s matching contribution, if one is offered. If you don’t earn this match, you are essentially walking away from “free money.” Beyond this, though, the amount you put into your 401(k) might depend on what other retirement savings vehicles you have available. For instance, if you’re eligible, you may also want to contribute to a Roth IRA, which offers tax-free growth potential, provided you’ve had your account for five years and don’t start taking withdrawals until you’re 59½.

   Of course, it’s not only how much you put into your 401(k) that determines its success — it’s also how you choose to allocate your investment dollars. (Keep in mind that asset allocation does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.) Your 401(k) may have a dozen or more investment choices, such as stock funds, bond funds and money market funds. To choose the right investment mix, you’ll need to consider a variety of factors, including these:

  * Your age — Generally speaking, the younger you are, the more aggressive you can afford to be with your 401(k) investments, because you’ll have decades in which to potentially overcome the inevitable down periods of the market. As you get older, you may wish to invest somewhat more conservatively, but you’ll still need some growth potential in your 401(k) portfolio.

  * Your goals — Everyone has different goals for retirement. You might want to retire early and travel the world, while your co-worker desires to work as long as possible and then, upon retirement, stay close to home and pursue hobbies. Because you each have different goals, with different income needs, you also may need to follow different investment strategies within your 401(k).

  * Your other retirement income sources — If you have a variety of retirement income sources — a pension from another job, an IRA, a spouse with generous retirement benefits — you may need to invest differently, perhaps less aggressively, than if you had fewer options for retirement income.

   Apart from putting away as much as you can into your 401(k) and choosing the right investment mix, what else can you do to get the most out of your plan? Here’s a suggestion: If you have worked at various jobs and acquired multiple 401(k)s, consider rolling them over into one account. You might save money on fees and reduce paperwork, but more importantly, you’ll be able to concentrate your resources and pursue a unified investment approach, with your investment dollars working together toward your ultimate retirement goals.

   As you can see, a 401(k) review and rollover can reward you in many ways — so do whatever it takes to maximize your 401(k)’s performance.

 

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To Retire Comfortably, Know Which Moves to Make — and When to Make Them

(written by Edward Jones for use by Edward Jones Financial Advisor, Patrick C. Cruser)

 

   We all want to enjoy a comfortable retirement. But to do so, we need to make different moves, and consider different issues, at different times of our lives. 

   To help illustrate this point, let’s look at three individuals: Alice, who is just starting her career; Bob, who is nearing retirement; and Charlie, who has recently retired.

   Let’s start with Alice. As a young worker, Alice most likely has four decades ahead of her until she retires. Yet she realizes that it’s never too soon to start saving for retirement, so she has already begun contributing to her 401(k) and to an IRA. And since she has so much time ahead of her, she has decided to invest aggressively, putting much of her contributions in growth-oriented vehicles. The market will certainly have its “dips” in the future, and Alice’s account values could rise and fall from year to year, but the longer she holds her investments, the less of an impact that market extremes should have on her 401(k), IRA and other accounts.

   Now let’s turn our attention to Bob. Since he is within a few years of retirement, he has some key decisions to make. For one thing, he must decide if it’s time to change the investment mix in his IRA, 401(k) and other accounts. Because Bob doesn’t have much time to overcome market volatility, and since he’d like to maintain the gains he has already achieved, he may decide to become more conservative with his investments. Consequently, he may choose to move some of his investment dollars from stocks to bonds and other fixed-income securities. Realizing, however, that he may spend two or three decades in retirement, and knowing that he will need to stay ahead of inflation, he doesn’t abandon all his growth-oriented investments. Furthermore, Bob decides that he may need to bolster his retirement income, so he considers whether an annuity, which is designed to provide him with an income stream he can’t outlive, is appropriate for his situation.

   Our final “life stages” investor is Charlie. He has recently retired, so his biggest concern is making sure he doesn’t outlive his financial resources. Therefore, he may need to consider a variety of moves. For starters, he should determine when to start taking Social Security and when to begin taking withdrawals from his IRA and 401(k) plans. [For a traditional IRA and a 401(k) or other employer-sponsored plan, Charlie, like all investors, must start taking withdrawals no later than age 70½.] After deciding when to start taking withdrawals from his retirement plans, he’ll also need to calculate how much he can afford to take each year without emptying the accounts. Finally, he might need to rebalance his overall investment portfolio to provide himself with more income.

   For help in making the types of choices described above, you may want to work with a financial professional, but in any case, you need to be prepared to take the right steps, at the right times, to enjoy the retirement lifestyle you’ve envisioned.